REPORTS

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August 11, 2022
The Real Underlying Issue For The Fed: Tight Labor Markets
Bond Yields, Economic Slowdown, Fed Tightening, Goods Inflation, Hard Landing, Housing, Housing Sentiment, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Labor Force, Mortgage Rates, Recession Risk, Services Inflation, Taylor Rule, Unemployment, Wage inflation, Wages, Yield Curve,
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July 28, 2022
The Housing Market And Economy Are NOT Out Of The Woods Yet
Bond Yields, Fed Tightening, Hard Landing, Homebuilding Stocks, Housing, Housing Affordability, Housing Sentiment, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Mortgage Rates, Recession Risk, Red Flags, Unemployment,
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July 21, 2022
Cyclicality, NOT Valuation, KEY Driver Of Returns In H2’22?
Beta, Bond Yields, Economic Slowdown, Fed Tightening, Fedflation, Financial risk, Goods Inflation, Growth Stocks, Index Composition, Inflation, Interest Rates, Leading Economic Indicators, Monetary Tightening, P/E, Rate Hikes, Real Wages, Services Inflation, Valuation,
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July 14, 2022
The Most Important EPS Reporting Season In Years
Beta, Commodities, Consumer Confidence, Counter-cyclical Leadership, Earnings, Economic Slowdown, Energy, Fed Tightening, Hard Landing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Margins, Monetary Tightening, P/E, Recession Risk, Red Flags, Revenues, Risk Aversion, Sector Selection, The Great Inflation, Yield Curve,
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July 6, 2022
What Would Make Us Bullish? Something That Can Offset U.S. Tightening!
Auto Affordability Index, Consumer Debt, Consumer Free Cash Flow, Consumer savings, Credit Risk, Delinquencies, Earnings, Economic Slowdown, Fed Tightening, Federal debt, Financial risk, Fiscal Policy, Global Economy, Housing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Layoffs, Margins, Monetary Tightening, Mortgage Rates, Purchasing Power, Real Wages, Wage inflation,
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June 29, 2022
Sector Allocation Amid A Complicated Macro Backdrop
Asset Allocation, Beta, Bond Yields, Commodities, Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Free Cash Flow, Consumer Staples, Counter-cyclical Leadership, Economic Slowdown, Energy, Fed Tightening, Fedflation, Financials, Global Economy, Growth Stocks, Hard Landing, Health Care Sector, Housing, Industrials, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Long duration, Materials, Monetary Tightening, Mortgage Rates, Oil, P/E, Rate Hikes, Red Flags, Risk Aversion, Sector Selection, Short Duration, Technology, Utilities, Valuation, Yield Curve,
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June 23, 2022
The Fog Of Interest Rates … And Why It Matters For Equities
Anticipatory Economic Indicators, Behavioral Finance, Beta, Cognitive Biases, Coincident Economic Indicators, Earnings, Economic Slowdown, Fed Tightening, Hard Landing, Housing, Housing Affordability, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Layoffs, Leading Economic Indicators, Long duration, Monetary Tightening, Mortgage Rates, P/E, Rate Hikes, Recession Risk, Red Flags, Short Duration,
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June 14, 2022
Best Client Questions From Last Week’s Conference Call
Anticipatory Economic Indicators, Bond Yields, Central Bank Mandate, Core CPI, Core PCE, Earnings, Economic Slowdown, Fed Framework, Fed Tightening, Growth Stocks, Hard Landing, Homebuilding Stocks, Housing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Leading Economic Indicators, Monetary Tightening, Mortgage Rates, P/E, PMI Peaks, Rate Hikes, Real Wages, Recession Risk, Services Inflation, Shelter Inflation, Unemployment, Valuation, Value Traps, Wage inflation, Yield Curve,
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June 7, 2022
Conference Call: Have Equities Fully Discounted The Slowdown?
Bond Yields, Conference Call, Core CPI, Core PCE, Cyclical Leadership, Earnings, Fed Tightening, Fedflation, Goods Inflation, Hard Landing, Housing, Index Composition, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Labor Force, Lagging Economic Indicators, Leading Economic Indicators, Monetary Policy, Monetary Tightening, P/E, PMI Peaks, Rate Hikes, Recession Risk, Risk Aversion, Risk Off, Risk On, Services Inflation, Shelter Inflation, Taylor Rule, The Great Inflation, Unemployment, Wage inflation, Yield Curve,
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June 2, 2022
2022 Intern Guide To Macro
Anticipatory Economic Indicators, Asset Allocation, Bond Yields, Coincident Economic Indicators, Conference Board, Cyclical Leadership, Earnings, Economic Recovery, Economic Slowdown, Fed Framework, Fed Mandate, Fed Tightening, Global Economy, Global Equities, Housing, Index Composition, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Lagging Economic Indicators, Monetary Policy, Monetary Stimulus, Monetary Tightening, P/E, PMI Peaks, Rate Hikes, Risk Aversion, Risk Off, Risk On, Unemployment, Valuation, Yield Curve,
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May 26, 2022
The Bullish Case For The USD … AND The Risks It Brings!
Commodities, Consumer Expenditures, Currency, Foreign Sales, Global Economy, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Taylor Rule, USD,
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May 18, 2022
Navigating Financials Amid Fed Tightening And Slower Growth
Banks Industry, Beta, Bond Yields, Capital Market Industry, Consumer Free Cash Flow, Delinquencies, Diversified Financial Services Industry, Economic Slowdown, Fedflation, Financials, Foreign Sales, Global Economy, Hard Landing, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Insurance Industry Group, Interest Rates, Monetary Tightening, Mortgage Rates, Rate Hikes, Valuation, Yield Curve,
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May 12, 2022
“Soft Landing” Is This Year’s “Transitory Inflation”
Bond Yields, Economic Slowdown, Fed Tightening, Goods Inflation, Hard Landing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Labor Force, Lagging Economic Indicators, Monetary Tightening, Mortgage Rates, Rate Hikes, Recession Risk, Services Inflation, Shelter Inflation, Unemployment, Wage inflation, Yield Curve,
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May 5, 2022
Three Developments That Could Revive Equities In The Near Term
Bond Yields, Commodities, Countertrends, Crisis Risk, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Slowdown, Fed Tightening, Financial risk, Geopolitical Risk, Global Economy, Growth Stocks, Hard Landing, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Monetary Tightening, P/E, Rate Hikes, Recession Risk, Ukraine, Valuation,
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April 28, 2022
No … Equities Are NOT Discounting The Full Slowdown Ahead
Bond Yields, Counter-cyclical Leadership, Credit Downgrades, Crisis Risk, Earnings, Economic Slowdown, Fed Tightening, Global Economy, Hard Landing, Housing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Leading Economic Indicators, Mortgage Rates, PMI Peaks, Recession Risk, Risk Aversion, U.S. Dollar,
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April 22, 2022
The Very Beginning Of Problems For LEIs … And Stocks!
Anticipatory Economic Indicators, Bond Yields, Central Bank Mandate, Earnings, Economic Slowdown, EPS Revisions, Fed Framework, Fed Mandate, Fed Tightening, Global Economy, Global Equities, Hard Landing, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Leading Economic Indicators, Monetary Policy, Monetary Tightening, Mortgage Rates, PMI Peaks, Rate Hikes, Recession Risk, Risk Aversion,
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April 13, 2022
The Worst Macro Profile For Stocks In A Generation
Bond Yields, Central Bank Mandate, Commodities, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Free Cash Flow, Economic Slowdown, Fed Framework, Fed Mandate, Fed Tightening, Financials, Geopolitical Risk, Global Economy, Goods Inflation, Growth Stocks, Hard Landing, Housing, Housing Affordability, Index Composition, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Leading Economic Indicators, Market Correction Monitor, Market Corrections Monitor, Monetary Policy, Monetary Tightening, Oil, Portfolio Torpedoes, Recession Risk, Red Flags, Risk Aversion, Services Inflation, Taylor Rule, TMR Sell Model, Wage inflation,
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April 7, 2022
Best Client Questions From Last Week’s Conference Call
Bond Yields, Commodities, Consumer Confidence, Consumer Expenditures, Consumer Spending, Earnings, Economic Recovery, Fed Tightening, Geopolitical Risk, Global Economy, Growth Stocks, Housing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Market Correction Monitor, Monetary Tightening, Mortgage Rates, Rate Hikes,
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March 31, 2022
Conference Call: Dr. Housing’s Recession Warning And What It Means For Stocks
Bond Yields, Conference Call, Consumer Free Cash Flow, Core CPI, Economic Slowdown, Fed Framework, Fed Tightening, Fedflation, Hard Landing, Housing, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Labor Force, Leading Economic Indicators, Monetary Policy, Monetary Tightening, Mortgage Rates, P/E, PMI Peaks, Rate Hikes, Recession Risk, Risk Aversion, Services Inflation, Shelter Inflation, Stagflation, Taylor Rule, Wage inflation, Yield Curve,
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March 24, 2022
Dr. Housing Warns Of Recession Risk Ahead
Bond Yields, Consumer Confidence, Consumer Spending, Economic Slowdown, Fed Tightening, Hard Landing, Homebuilding Stocks, Housing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Monetary Tightening, Mortgage Rates, Rate Hikes, Recession Risk, TMR Sell Model,
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March 17, 2022
Equities Confronting A New “Old” Reality: Stagflation
Consumer Expenditures, Fiscal Policy, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Labor Force, Margins, Oil, Price Controls, Profitability, Recession Risk, Services Inflation, Stagflation, The Great Inflation, Unemployment, Wage inflation,
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March 10, 2022
The Coming Wave Of Credit Downgrades Could Be Epic
Anticipatory Economic Indicators, Corporate Debt, Credit Downgrades, Credit Ratings, Credit Risk, Earnings, Economic Slowdown, Fed Tightening, Growth Stocks, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Lagging Economic Indicators, Quantitative Research, Rate Hikes, Recession Risk, Risk Aversion, The Great Inflation, TMR Credit Model, Value Stocks,
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March 3, 2022
The Perfect “Macro” Storm For The Technology Sector In 2022
Central Bank Mandate, Consumer Confidence, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Free Cash Flow, Economic Slowdown, Fed Framework, Hard Landing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Personal Income, Recession Risk, The Great Inflation, Valuation, Yield Curve,
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February 24, 2022
Fed’s View Of Risk Even More Off Base Than Its Inflation View?
Central Bank Mandate, Consumer Confidence, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Free Cash Flow, Economic Slowdown, Fed Framework, Hard Landing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Personal Income, Recession Risk, The Great Inflation, Valuation, Yield Curve,
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