REPORTS

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September 24, 2021
The Fed’s Gamble And What It Means For Stocks In 2022
Bond Yields, Deflationary Slowdown, Economic Slowdown, Fed Tightening, Fedflation, Financial risk, Growth Stocks, Housing, Index Composition, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Long duration, Monetary Policy, P/E, Rate Hikes, Short Duration, Stagflation, Unemployment, Valuation,
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September 15, 2021
Is The Fed’s More Subjective Mandate The Biggest Threat To Equities In 2022?
Anticipatory Economic Indicators, Bond Yields, Capacity Destruction, Conference Call, Deflationary Slowdown, Dual Mandate Bullseye, Economic Slowdown, Fed Framework, Fed Tightening, Fedflation, Fiscal Stimulus, Growth Stocks, Housing, Housing Affordability, Immigration, Index Composition, Inflation, Inflationary Slowdown, Interest Rates, Labor Force, Lagging Economic Indicators, Long duration, Margins, Monetary Policy, P/E, Rate Hikes, Real Wages, Short Duration, Stagflation, Taylor Rule, Unemployment, Valuation, Wage inflation, Wages,
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September 10, 2021
What Could Go Wrong With This Goldi-Like Market?
Bond Yields, Economic Slowdown, EPS Revisions, Financial risk, Global Economy, Growth Stocks, Immigration, Index Composition, Inflation, Interest Rates, Labor Force, Lagging Economic Indicators, Market Corrections Monitor, Monetary Policy, P/E, Real Wages, Red Flags, Stagflation, Unemployment, Valuation, Wage inflation, Wages,
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September 2, 2021
Haven’t Heard The Term “Risk/Reward” In A While
Behavioral Finance, Bond Yields, Cognitive Biases, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Free Cash Flow, COVID, Earnings, Economic Slowdown, Fed Framework, Fed Tightening, Financials, Global Economy, Growth Stocks, Housing, Housing Affordability, Index Composition, Inflation, Interest Rates, Leading Economic Indicators, Long duration, Market Corrections Monitor, Monetary Policy, P/E, Rate Hikes, Sell-Side Biases, Valuation, Wage inflation,
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August 26, 2021
A Sneak Peak At This Fall’s Key Themes For Markets
Bond Yields, Budget deficit, Consumer savings, Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Stimulus, Global Economy, Growth Stocks, Housing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Interest Rates, Kim-Wright Model, Long duration, Margins, Monetary Policy, Monetary Stimulus, Real Wages, Short Duration, Taylor Rule, Term Premium, Valuation, Wages,
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August 19, 2021
Housing: The Canary In The Coal Mine Of The Inflation Story
Consumer Free Cash Flow, Cyclical Leadership, Housing, Housing Affordability, Inflation, Labor Force, Macro Accommodation Barometer (MAB), Monetary Policy, Purchasing Power, Real Wages, Red Flags, Stagflation, Wages, Yield Curve,
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August 5, 2021
Market Hinges On … Fed Brilliance Or Policy Mistake?
Bond Yields, Fed Framework, Fed Tightening, Growth Stocks, Housing, Inequality, Interest Rates, Labor Force, Long duration, Monetary Policy, P/E, Purchasing Power, Rate Hikes, Shipping, Short Duration, Valuation, Wages,
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July 29, 2021
The “Inflation Bill” Will Eventually Come Due For Equities
Behavioral Finance, Bond Yields, Cognitive Biases, Cyclical Leadership, Earnings, Economic Recovery, Fed Framework, Fed Tightening, Global Economy, Growth Stocks, Housing, Index Composition, Inflation, Inflationary Growth, Interest Rates, Leading Economic Indicators, Long duration, Margins, Monetary Policy, Monetary Stimulus, P/E, Rate Hikes, Sell-Side Biases, Short Duration,
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July 23, 2021
Why We Still Expect Value To Win The Performance Race Of 2021
All-Weather Model, Behavioral Finance, Cognitive Biases, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Recovery, Growth Stocks, Index Composition, Inflation, Leading Economic Indicators, Middle Duration, P/E, Risk On, Valuation, Wall Street Darlings,
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July 16, 2021
A Few Themes (And Charts!) To Ponder On Vacation
Behavioral Finance, Bond Yields, Cognitive Biases, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Recovery, FAANG Stocks, Growth Stocks, Housing, Index Composition, Inflation, Inflationary Growth, Institutional Ownership, Interest Rates, Labor Force, Long duration, Monetary Policy, Monetary Stimulus, Risk On, Sell-Side Biases, Short Duration, Stealth Bull Market, Valuation, Wages, Wall Street Darlings,
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July 1, 2021
Inflation’s Mis-Appreciated Role In Today’s Financial Markets
Bond Yields, Fed Framework, Growth Stocks, Index Composition, Inflation, Inflationary Growth, Interest Rates, Kim-Wright Model, Labor Force, Long duration, Monetary Policy, P/E, Profitability, Rate Hikes, Short Duration,
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June 24, 2021
Housing Bubble About To Expose The Fed’s Inflation Forecast
Consumer Confidence, Consumer Expenditures, Economic Slowdown, Fed Framework, Growth Stocks, Housing, Inflation, Interest Rates, Long duration, Monetary Policy, Short Duration, Taylor Rule, Yield Curve,
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June 17, 2021
Conference Call: What Happens To Equities If Inflation Is More Than “Transitory”?
Bond Yields, Conference Call, Consumer Confidence, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Recovery, Fed Tightening, Fiscal Stimulus, Growth Stocks, Hard Landing, Inflation, Inflationary Growth, Interest Rates, Labor Force, Long duration, Monetary Policy, Rate Hikes, Short Duration, Taylor Rule, U.S. Dollar, Unemployment, Valuation, Wages,
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June 10, 2021
What Happens To Equities If The Fed Is Wrong About Inflation?
Bond Yields, Consumer Confidence, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Recovery, Fed Tightening, Fiscal Stimulus, Food & Agriculture Jobs, Growth Stocks, Hard Landing, Immigration, Index Composition, Inflation, Inflationary Growth, Interest Rates, Labor Force, Long duration, Monetary Policy, Rate Hikes, Short Duration, Taylor Rule, Unemployment, Valuation, Wage inflation, Wages,
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June 3, 2021
Macro Intern Guide 2021: 8 Key Concepts Every Incoming Intern Should Be Aware Of
Behavioral Finance, Bond Yields, Cognitive Biases, Coincident Economic Indicators, Conference Board, COVID, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Recovery, Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Stimulus, Global Economy, Interest Rates, Kim-Wright Model, Lagging Economic Indicators, Leading Economic Indicators, Monetary Policy, Monetary Stimulus, Risk On, Sector Selection, Taylor Rule, Term Premium, U.S. Dollar,
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May 27, 2021
Charts And Other Thoughts To Ponder Over The Long Weekend
Budget deficit, Consumer savings, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Recovery, EPS Revisions, Federal debt, Financial risk, Growth Stocks, Inflation, Large-Cap Stocks, Long duration, Profitability, Taylor Rule, Unemployment, Valuation, Wages, Wall Street Darlings,
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May 20, 2021
Managing Risk In An Unusually Polarized Equity Market
All-Weather Model, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Recovery, Fed Tightening, Growth Stocks, Index Composition, Inflation, Middle Duration, Rate Hikes, Short Duration, Stealth Bull Market, Valuation,
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May 13, 2021
Time To Sell Growth Stocks? Introducing The TMR Sell Model
Cyclical Leadership, Growth Stocks, Index Composition, Inflation, Red Flags, Sell-Side Biases, TMR Sell Model, Valuation,
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May 6, 2021
The Top 3 Risks That Likely Curtail S&P 500 Gains In 2021
Bond Yields, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Recovery, FAANG Stocks, Fed Framework, Growth Stocks, Index Composition, Institutional Ownership, Monetary Stimulus, Red Flags, Risk On, Sell-Side Biases, Stealth Bull Market, TMR Sell Model, Valuation,
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April 29, 2021
When The Recovery Threatens The Market Rally
Bond Yields, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Recovery, Growth Stocks, Index Composition, Large-Cap Stocks, Monetary Stimulus, Stealth Bull Market, Valuation,
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April 22, 2021
Weakness In Cyclicals: Inflection Point Or Noise?
Bond Yields, Cyclical Leadership, Economic Recovery, FAANG Stocks, Foreign Sales, Inflation, Inflationary Growth, Institutional Ownership, Multinationals, Stealth Bull Market, Valuation,
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April 15, 2021
The Fed Trade Nobody Is Writing About (Part Deux!)
Bond Yields, Cyclical Leadership, Dual Mandate Bullseye, Fed Framework, Fed Tightening, Inflation, Rate Hikes, Sector Selection, Short Duration, Taylor Rule, Unemployment, Valuation,
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April 5, 2021
Are Last Year’s Darlings Weighing On Your Portfolio?
Growth Stocks, Large-Cap Stocks, Red Flags, Sell-Side Biases, TMR Sell Model, Wall Street Darlings,
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March 25, 2021
The Fed Trade Nobody Is Talking About
Bond Yields, Fed Tightening, Inflation, Rate Hikes, Short Duration,
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